Eli Lilly surges past estimates, boosts guidance as drug sales skyrocket

Eli Lilly’s strong second-quarter performance has exceeded expectations, driven by booming sales of its diabetes medication Mounjaro and weight loss injection Zepbound. The company has significantly raised its revenue outlook and reported a substantial increase in earnings.

Key Highlights

  • Earnings and Revenue
    • Earnings per Share (EPS): $3.92 (adjusted), surpassing the $2.60 forecast.
    • Revenue: $11.30 billion, exceeding the $9.92 billion estimate.
    • Net Income: $2.97 billion ($3.28 per share), up from $1.76 billion ($1.95 per share) a year earlier.
  • Revenue Outlook
    • Eli Lilly has increased its full-year revenue guidance to between $45.4 billion and $46.6 billion, up by $3 billion at both ends of the range.
    • The company also raised its full-year adjusted earnings forecast to $16.10 to $16.60 per share, from the previous range of $13.50 to $14 per share.
  • Drug Sales
    • Mounjaro: Generated $3.09 billion in sales, more than triple the amount from the same period last year. Analysts had expected $2.39 billion.
    • Zepbound: Achieved $1.24 billion in sales, well above the anticipated $922.2 million.
  • Supply and Demand
    • Despite previous supply issues, all doses of Zepbound and Mounjaro are now available in the U.S. after extended shortages.
    • Eli Lilly has ramped up production, with plans to increase output of incretin drugs by 50% in the latter half of 2024 compared to the previous year.
  • Future Outlook
    • Eli Lilly is working on developing more convenient weight loss pills to meet growing demand.
    • The company has built six new manufacturing plants and hired thousands of workers to boost production.
  • Stock Performance
    • Shares of Eli Lilly closed over 9% higher on Thursday and have risen more than 30% this year, following a nearly 60% increase in 2023.

Market Context

Eli Lilly’s success with Mounjaro and Zepbound contrasts with challenges faced by competitors. Novo Nordisk reported weaker-than-expected sales for its weight loss drug Wegovy and diabetes injection Ozempic, partly due to pricing pressures.