Donald Trump agrees to debate Kamala Harris: Latest polls and predictions

US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has confirmed he will debate his Democratic opponent Kamala Harris on September 10, hosted by ABC. Trump has also proposed additional debates on September 4 and September 25, which would be aired on Fox and NBC, respectively. This will be the first direct face-off between Trump and Harris, highlighting a highly competitive race.
Polls Overview
Ipsos Poll
- August 9 Survey:
- Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump 42% to 37% for the upcoming November 5 elections.
- This marks a rise in Harris’s popularity compared to the July 22-23 Reuters/Ipsos survey, where she led Trump 37% to 34%.
- Seven Key States:
- Harris leads Trump 42% to 40% in states pivotal in the 2020 election: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
YouGov Poll
- August 4 Findings:
- Harris has overtaken Trump with a 1% lead nationwide, reversing Trump’s previous five-point advantage over Biden.
- The poll indicates a tie between Harris and Trump in key swing states.
- Mental Competence Perception:
- 51% of respondents view Trump as mentally capable of the presidency, compared to 64% for Harris.
Marist Poll
- NPR/PBS News/Marist Survey:
- Harris has a narrow 51% to 48% lead over Trump among crucial demographics including Black voters, white women with college degrees, and political independents.
- Independent Women Voters:
- Harris leads by 9 points (53% to 44%) among independent women, a key swing voter group.
- Suburban and White Voters:
- Harris has made notable gains in these groups, improving her standing.
Issue-Based Polling
- Economic Issues:
- Trump leads Harris by 3 points (51% to 48%).
- Immigration:
- Trump has a 52% to 46% advantage over Harris.
- Abortion:
- Harris holds a significant lead with a 15-point advantage over Trump.
Kamala Harris, who joined the presidential race on July 21 after President Joe Biden’s endorsement, has selected Tim Walz, the Governor of Minnesota, as her running mate. Biden exited the race following a challenging debate performance against Trump on June 27.